Evacuation Simulation Considering Tourists’ Attempts to Return Home: A Case of the Kiyomizu-dera Temple Area, Japan

Evacuation Simulation Considering Tourists’ Attempts to Return Home: A Case of the Kiyomizu-dera Temple Area, Japan
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考虑游客试图回家的疏散模拟:以日本清水寺地区为例

DOI:
10.1007/978-3-030-77356-4_33
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发表时间:
2021
期刊:
Historic Cities in the Face of Disasters: Reconstruction, Recovery and Resilience of Societies
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Kanegae Hidehiko
Kanegae Hidehiko
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Sakai Kohei;Kanegae Hidehiko

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灾后立即疏散大量不同人群是最关键的问题之一。尤其重要的是安全疏散该地区的非居民,如国内外游客。灾后立即进行妥善管理和考虑周全的疏散,可以有效地部署人力资源,以拯救文化财产和开展初步消防工作,从而提高复原力。然而,疏散研究没有考虑到国内或国际游客的不同需求,包括他们返回家园的尝试。本章采用抽样调查法、场景想象法和agent模拟相结合的方法进行疏散模拟,考察游客的返乡尝试。最初,对274名日本国内游客和107名外国游客进行了调查。他们提供了他们在各种灾难场景下的行为意向,如引导、道路宽度、其他游客行为和路线步行体验。基于调查结果,运用决策树分析法,建立了考虑日本游客和外国游客的游客疏散行为模型。其次,对疏散agent进行仿真,并提出了以日本京都著名旅游胜地清水寺地区为例应用的疏散方法。因此,研究发现,由于疏散地点的位置和导游的安置,许多游客会在灾难发生后离开清水寺地区。如上所述,本研究从游客试图回家的角度出发,提出了疏散模拟。
Evacuation of large disparate groups of people during the immediate post-disaster event is one of the most critical issues. Particularly crucial is the safe evacuation of non-residents of the area such as domestic and foreign tourists. Well-managed and considered evacuation immediately after post-disaster enables for the efficient deployment of human resources for rescuing cultural property and initial firefighting efforts, leading to greater resilience. However, evacuation research does not consider the varying needs of domestic or international tourists including their attempts to return home. This chapter explores an evacuation simulation to examine the attempts of tourists to return home using a method combining sampling survey, scene imagination method and agent simulation. Initially, a survey was conducted with 274 domestic tourists and 107 foreign tourists in Japan. They provided their behavioural intention under various disaster scene scenarios such as guidance, road width, other tourist behaviour and route walking experiences. Based on the survey results using decision tree analysis, tourists’ evacuation behaviour model was built considering Japanese and foreign tourists. Next, the evacuation agent simulation and proposed the evacuation method applied in the case of the Kiyomizu-dera Temple area, a popular tourist destination in Kyoto, Japan. As a result, the study found many tourists would flow out of the Kiyomizu-dera Temple area after disasters because of the location of evacuation sites and placement of guides. As mentioned above, this study proposed an evacuation simulation from the viewpoint of tourist’s attempts at returning home.
DOI: 10.3130/aije.81.1
发表时间: 2016
期刊: Journal of Environmental Engineering (transactions of Aij)
影响因子: --
作者:
Tomoaki Nishino;K. Ohashi;A. Hokugo
通讯作者: A. Hokugo
DOI: --
发表时间: 2018
期刊: Kurahashi, Takahashi (Eds.), Innovative Approaches in Agent-Based Modelling and Business Intelligence, Springer,
影响因子: --
作者:
Makoto Sonohara;Kohei Sakai;Masakazu Takahshi;and Toshiyuki Kaneda
通讯作者: and Toshiyuki Kaneda