A fully Bayesian approach for combining multilevel failure information in fault tree quantification and optimal follow-on resource allocation
A fully Bayesian approach for combining multilevel failure information in fault tree quantification and optimal follow-on resource allocation
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DOI:
10.1016/j.ress.2004.02.001
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发表时间:
2004-12
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
M. Hamada;H. Martz;C. S. Reese;T. Graves;Val Johnson;Alyson G. Wilson
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文献类型:
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作者:
M. Hamada;H. Martz;C. S. Reese;T. Graves;Val Johnson;Alyson G. Wilson
This paper presents a fully Bayesian approach that simultaneously combines non-overlapping (in time) basic event and higher-level event failure data in fault tree quantification. Such higher-level data often correspond to train, subsystem or system failure events. The fully Bayesian approach also automatically propagates the highest-level data to lower levels in the fault tree. A simple example illustrates our approach. The optimal allocation of resources for collecting additional data from a choice of different level events is also presented. The optimization is achieved using a genetic algorithm.