Risk Model-Based Lung Cancer Screening and Racial and Ethnic Disparities in the US.
Risk Model-Based Lung Cancer Screening and Racial and Ethnic Disparities in the US.
复制标题
DOI:
10.1001/jamaoncol.2023.4447
复制
发表时间:
2023-12-01
期刊:
影响因子:
28.4
通讯作者:
Han, Summer S.
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Choi, Eunji;Ding, Victoria Y.;Luo, Sophia J.;ten Haaf, Kevin;Wu, Julie T.;Aredo, Jacqueline V.;Wilkens, Lynne R.;Freedman, Neal D.;Backhus, Leah M.;Leung, Ann N.;Meza, Rafael;Lui, Natalie S.;Haiman, Christopher A.;Park, Sung-Shim Lani;Le Marchand, Loic;Neal, Joel W.;Cheng, Iona;Wakelee, Heather A.;Tammemaegi, Martin C.;Han, Summer S.
Can risk-based lung cancer screening reduce racial and ethnic disparities and improve screening efficiency vs the national lung cancer screening guidelines across 5 races and ethnicities in the US? In this cohort study including 105 261 adults with a smoking history, the 2021 US Preventive Services Task Force guidelines yielded a large disparity in African American individuals whose eligibility-incidence ratio was 53% lower than that of White individuals. Under risk-based screening, the disparity between African American and White individuals was reduced—with minimal disparities observed across other minoritized groups—and improved screening efficiency across races and ethnicities. The findings of this study suggest that risk-based screening reduces racial and ethnic disparities while maintaining improved screening efficiency. The revised 2021 US Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) guidelines for lung cancer screening have been shown to reduce disparities in screening eligibility and performance between African American and White individuals vs the 2013 guidelines. However, potential disparities across other racial and ethnic groups in the US remain unknown. Risk model–based screening may reduce racial and ethnic disparities and improve screening performance, but neither validation of key risk prediction models nor their screening performance has been examined by race and ethnicity. To validate and recalibrate the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial 2012 (PLCOm2012) model—a well-established risk prediction model based on a predominantly White population—across races and ethnicities in the US and evaluate racial and ethnic disparities and screening performance through risk-based screening using PLCOm2012 vs the USPSTF 2021 criteria. In a population-based cohort design, the Multiethnic Cohort Study enrolled participants in 1993-1996, followed up through December 31, 2018. Data analysis was conducted from April 1, 2022, to May 19. 2023. A total of 105 261 adults with a smoking history were included. The 6-year lung cancer risk was calculated through recalibrated PLCOm2012 (ie, PLCOm2012-Update) and screening eligibility based on a 6-year risk threshold greater than or equal to 1.3%, yielding similar eligibility as the USPSTF 2021 guidelines. Predictive accuracy, screening eligibility-incidence (E-I) ratio (ie, ratio of the number of eligible to incident cases), and screening performance (sensitivity, specificity, and number needed to screen to detect 1 lung cancer). Of 105 261 participants (60 011 [57.0%] men; mean [SD] age, 59.8 [8.7] years), consisting of 19 258 (18.3%) African American, 27 227 (25.9%) Japanese American, 21 383 (20.3%) Latino, 8368 (7.9%) Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander, and 29 025 (27.6%) White individuals, 1464 (1.4%) developed lung cancer within 6 years from enrollment. The PLCOm2012-Update showed good predictive accuracy across races and ethnicities (area under the curve, 0.72-0.82). The USPSTF 2021 criteria yielded a large disparity among African American individuals, whose E-I ratio was 53% lower vs White individuals (E-I ratio: 9.5 vs 20.3; P < .001). Under the risk-based screening (PLCOm2012-Update 6-year risk ≥1.3%), the disparity between African American and White individuals was substantially reduced (E-I ratio: 15.9 vs 18.4; P < .001), with minimal disparities observed in persons of other minoritized groups, including Japanese American, Latino, and Native Hawaiian/Other Pacific Islander. Risk-based screening yielded superior overall and race and ethnicity–specific performance to the USPSTF 2021 criteria, with higher overall sensitivity (67.2% vs 57.7%) and lower number needed to screen (26 vs 30) at similar specificity (76.6%). The findings of this cohort study suggest that risk-based lung cancer screening can reduce racial and ethnic disparities and improve screening performance across races and ethnicities vs the USPSTF 2021 criteria. This cohort study evaluates use of risk-based screening for lung cancer with the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial 2012 prediction model to address racial and ethnic disparities in individuals with a smoking history.
登录
查看更多内容
影响因子:
39.2
作者:
Moyer, Virginia A.
通讯作者:
Moyer, Virginia A.
影响因子:
4.1
作者:
da Silva Teles, Gustavo Borges;Sandoval Macedo, Ana Carolina;Szarf, Gilberto
通讯作者:
Szarf, Gilberto
影响因子:
10.3
作者:
Cronin, Kathleen A.;Gail, Mitchell H.;Albanes, Demetrius
通讯作者:
Albanes, Demetrius
DOI:
10.1001/jama.2016.6255
发表时间:
2016-06-07
期刊:
JAMA
影响因子:
--
作者:
Katki HA;Kovalchik SA;Berg CD;Cheung LC;Chaturvedi AK
通讯作者:
Chaturvedi AK
影响因子:
13.8
作者:
Reese TJ;Schlechter CR;Potter LN;Kawamoto K;Del Fiol G;Lam CY;Wetter DW
通讯作者:
Wetter DW