Community-wide isoniazid preventive therapy drives drug-resistant tuberculosis: a model-based analysis.
Community-wide isoniazid preventive therapy drives drug-resistant tuberculosis: a model-based analysis.
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DOI:
10.1126/scitranslmed.3005260
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发表时间:
2013-04-10
影响因子:
17.1
通讯作者:
Colijn C
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
Mills HL;Cohen T;Colijn C
Tuberculosis control has proven especially difficult in settings of high HIV prevalence as HIV co-infection erodes host immunity and leads to a high risk of progression to active tuberculosis. Studies have demonstrated that a 6-month (or longer) course of monotherapy with isoniazid (isoniazid preventative therapy (IPT)) can reduce this risk of progression. The World Health Organization endorses the use of IPT for symptom-free individuals with HIV/tuberculosis co-infection and has placed considerable effort in expanding IPT to entire communities (community-wide IPT). Though previous reviews have not found a statistically significant elevated risk of isoniazid-resistant tuberculosis among those previously treated with IPT, community-wide IPT programs may nonetheless generate substantial selective pressure and increase the burden of drug-resistant TB (DRTB). We develop mathematical models to identify the conditions under which community-wide IPT interventions can increase the burden of isoniazid-resistant M. tuberculosis, even when IPT does not select for resistance among those treated with IPT. In any model that explicitly or implicitly includes forms of inter-strain competition (such as partial immunity conferred by a previous M. tuberculosis infection), community-wide IPT interventions confer an indirect benefit to drug-resistant strains through selective suppression of drug-sensitive infections. We demonstrate that aggressive community-wide IPT can have an impressive impact on reductions of drug-sensitive disease, but at the cost of increasing the selective pressure for resistance. Improving the detection and treatment of DRTB can mitigate this risk. The lack of an observed elevation in the risk of DRTB among those receiving IPT in small-scale studies of limited duration does not imply that the selective pressure imposed by community-wide IPT will not be substantial. Community-wide IPT programs will likely play an important role in disease control in high incidence settings and their roll-out should be accompanied by interventions for the detection and treatment of drug-resistant disease.
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DOI:
10.1073/pnas.0901415106
发表时间:
2009-06-02
影响因子:
11.1
作者:
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影响因子:
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DOI:
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发表时间:
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影响因子:
11.1
作者:
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通讯作者:
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影响因子:
30.8
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