Two Bayesian Tests of the GLOMOsys Model

Two Bayesian Tests of the GLOMOsys Model
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DOI:
10.1037/xge0000067
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发表时间:
2016-12-01
影响因子:
4.1
通讯作者:
van Ravenzwaaij, Don
van Ravenzwaaij, Don
中科院分区:
心理学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Field, Sarahanne M.;Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan;van Ravenzwaaij, Don

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启动可以说是当代社会心理学中的关键现象之一。最近的回撤和失败的复制尝试导致了该领域支持者和怀疑者之间的分歧,并加强了通过复制确认某些启动效应的重要性。在这项研究中,我们描述了Forster和Denzler(2012)的1个实验的2次预注册复制尝试的结果。在这两个实验中,参与者首先对字母进行全局或局部处理,然后使用典型性评级任务进行测试。两个实验都进行了贝叶斯因素假设检验:实验1(N=100)产生了不确定的贝叶斯因素1.38,表明实验室数据在零假设下发生的可能性是替代假设下的1.38倍。实验2(N=908)的贝叶斯系数为10.84,表明支持零假设,即整体启动不影响被试的平均典型性评分。未能复制这种启动效应,挑战了现有对GLOMO(Sys)模型的支持。
Priming is arguably one of the key phenomena in contemporary social psychology. Recent retractions and failed replication attempts have led to a division in the field between proponents and skeptics and have reinforced the importance of confirming certain priming effects through replication. In this study, we describe the results of 2 preregistered replication attempts of 1 experiment by Forster and Denzler (2012). In both experiments, participants first processed letters either globally or locally, then were tested using a typicality rating task. Bayes factor hypothesis tests were conducted for both experiments: Experiment 1 (N = 100) yielded an indecisive Bayes factor of 1.38, indicating that the in-lab data are 1.38 times more likely to have occurred under the null hypothesis than under the alternative. Experiment 2 (N = 908) yielded a Bayes factor of 10.84, indicating strong support for the null hypothesis that global priming does not affect participants' mean typicality ratings. The failure to replicate this priming effect challenges existing support for the GLOMO(sys) model.