It can happen here: the impact of the Mumbai terror attacks on public opinion in Western Europe
It can happen here: the impact of the Mumbai terror attacks on public opinion in Western Europe
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DOI：
10.1007/s11127-011-9895-7
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发表时间：
2013-07-01
期刊：
影响因子：
1.6
通讯作者：
Listhaug, Ola
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Finseraas, Henning;Listhaug, Ola
即使恐怖袭击发生在很远的地方，也会对公众舆论产生影响吗？我们利用2008年印度孟买发生恐怖袭击时在几个西欧国家进行了第四轮欧洲社会调查这一事实，以确定孟买袭击对公众舆论的因果影响。我们发现，由于恐怖袭击，国内对恐怖主义的恐惧明显增加，但尽管对恐怖主义的恐惧增加，我们发现袭击对支持狭隘的审讯技巧或自由的移民政策没有显著影响。我们确实发现了从左到右的尺度上保守方向发生转变的迹象，但这种转变在所有时间窗口中并不显著。我们的发现表明，在人们改变他们的政策偏好之前，恐怖袭击需要对恐怖主义的恐惧产生非常大的影响。
Do terror attacks have an impact on public opinion, even if the terror attacks happen far away? We exploit the fact that the fourth round of the European Social Survey was conducted in several West European countries at the time of the 2008 terror attacks in Mumbai, India, in order to identify the causal effect of the Mumbai attacks on public opinion. We identify a clear jump in fear of terrorism at home as a consequence of the terror attacks, but despite the increase in fear of terrorism, we find no significant effect of the attack on support for illiberal interrogation techniques or for liberal immigration policies. We do find indications of a shift in conservative direction on the left-right scale, but this shift is not significant in all time windows. Our findings suggest that a terror attack needs to have a very large impact on the fear of terrorism before people change their policy preferences.