The Determinants and Consequences of Accurate Beliefs About Childhood Vaccinations
The Determinants and Consequences of Accurate Beliefs About Childhood Vaccinations
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DOI：
10.1177/1532673x17745342
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发表时间：
2019-05-01
影响因子：
1.5
通讯作者：
Sylvester, Steven M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Joslyn, Mark R.;Sylvester, Steven M.
在这篇文章中，我们考察了对疫苗接种和自闭症之间联系的准确信念负责的个体预测因素。然后，我们展示了这些信念如何影响疫苗的政策偏好。我们从动机推理理论中得出了两个假设，并利用盖洛普和CBS新闻的全国调查数据对这些假设进行了检验。与民主党人相比，共和党人不太可能报告准确的信念。此外，受教育程度对政党认同的影响也有所修正。在受教育程度最高的公众中，共和党人和民主党人在报告准确信仰的可能性方面的差距最大。最后，我们表明，独立于统计控制的对疫苗的准确信念是对未接种疫苗的儿童在公立学校就读的政策态度以及父母对接种疫苗决定的选择的重要预测因素。我们讨论了这些发现的理论和实践意义。
In this article, we examine the individual predictors that are responsible for accurate beliefs about the link between vaccinations and autism. We then show how these beliefs affect policy preferences about vaccines. We derive two hypotheses from motivated reasoning theory and test these on national survey data from Gallup and CBS News. Republicans were less likely to report accurate beliefs than Democrats. In addition, educational attainment modified the impact of party identification. The gap between Republicans and Democrats in likelihood of reporting accurate beliefs was largest among the most educated portion of the public. Finally, we show that accurate beliefs about vaccines, independent of statistical controls, are important predictors of policy attitudes about unvaccinated children attending public school and parental choice about the decision to vaccinate. We discuss the theoretical and practical significance of these findings.