Air Power in MOOTW: A Critical Analysis of Using No-Fly Zones to Support National Objectives

Air Power in MOOTW: A Critical Analysis of Using No-Fly Zones to Support National Objectives
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MOOTW 中的空中力量:利用禁飞区支持国家目标的批判性分析

DOI:
10.21236/ada388427
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发表时间:
2012
期刊:
SAIS Review of International Affairs
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Michael V. McKelvey
Michael V. McKelvey
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
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作者:
Michael V. McKelvey

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翻译后摘要:本分析的目的是评估禁飞区的有效性,并评估影响成功的背景因素。禁飞区成功的衡量标准是:a)空中目标的实现B)空中目标与更高级别目标之间的一致性,以及c)每个禁飞区对更高级别目标和期望的最终状态的实际影响。每个禁飞区的空中目标是阻止所有不支持盟军的飞机飞行,保护平民免受空中轰炸,并为其他任务提供空中优势。波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那上空的禁飞区在实现空中目标方面取得了有限的成功,而伊拉克上空的两个禁飞区则非常成功。每个禁飞区的空中目标都与国家目标一致。1995年11月在俄亥俄州的代顿举行的谈判取得了成功,这证明波斯尼亚-黑塞哥维那在实现所有长期目标方面取得了积极进展。伊拉克军事行动的长期影响尚不清楚。为了克服物理环境的限制,所有力量之间的适当同步将是至关重要的。军事行动的接战规则应简化部队之间的协调、整合和识别,以便分散执行。美国在海湾军事存在的长期影响应进一步研究。如果结束对伊拉克南部什叶派的压迫是美国的目标,那么有必要重新评估战区的力量。这项研究支持了禁飞区是美军有效战略的假设。
Abstract : The purpose of this analysis is to evaluate the effectiveness of no-fly zones and to assess the contextual factors that influence success. The measures of success for the no-fly zones are: a) achievement of air objectives b) congruency between air objectives and higher level objectives, and c) actual effects of each no-fly zone on higher level objectives and a desired end state. The air objectives of each no-fly zone has been to prevent flights of all aircraft not in support of the allied forces, to protect civilians from aerial bombardment, and to provide air supremacy for other missions. The no-fly zone over Bosnia-Herzegovina achieved limited success in achieving air objectives, while the two no-fly zones over Iraq have been very successful. The air objectives of each no-fly zone have been congruent with national objectives. The success of the November 1995 negotiations in Dayton, Ohio is testament to the positive progress toward all of the long term objectives for Bosnia-Herzegovina. The long term effects of operations in Iraq are unclear. To overcome limitations imposed by the physical environment, proper synchronization between all forces will be essential. Rules of engagement for military operations should simplify coordination, integration, and identification among forces so that execution can be decentralized. The long term impact of U.S. military presence in the Gulf should be studied further. If ending the oppression of the Shiites in southern Iraq is a U.S. objective, then a reevaluation of the forces in theater is necessary. This study supports the hypothesis that no-fly zones are an effective strategy for U.S. forces.