Competition, Transmission and Pattern Evolution: A Network Analysis of Global Oil Trade
Competition, Transmission and Pattern Evolution: A Network Analysis of Global Oil Trade
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DOI：
10.1016/j.enpol.2014.06.020
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发表时间：
2014-10
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Hai-ying Zhang;Qiang Ji;Ying Fan
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Hai-ying Zhang;Qiang Ji;Ying Fan
运用复杂网络理论研究石油进口国之间的竞争，结合几种竞争强度的替代测度，分析石油贸易竞争格局的演变及其传导机制。结果表明，石油贸易已形成全球竞争格局，亚太地区在这一竞争格局演变中的作用日益突出。此外，全球竞争强度持续上升，非经合组织国家成为这种全球竞争强度上升的主要推动力。石油进口大国是全球石油贸易竞争格局的重要组成部分。它们不仅是石油资源竞争的主要参与者，而且在石油贸易竞争的传导过程中发挥着重要作用。尤其是中国和美国，表现出全球化的特征，其影响波及整个石油贸易竞争网络。最后，提出了“5C”（可变性、稳定性、合作性、承诺性和环境性）政策框架，以维护石油贸易的稳定性，从多个方面提高石油进口国的能源安全。
This paper studies the competition among oil importers using complex network theory, combined with several alternative measures of competition intensity, to analyze the evolution of the pattern and transmission of oil-trading competition. The results indicate that oil trade has formed a global competition pattern and that the role played by the Asian-Pacific region in the evolution of this competition pattern is becoming increasingly prominent. In addition, global competition intensity has continued to rise, and non-OECD countries have become the main driving force for this increase in global competition intensity. The large oil importers are the most significant parts of the global oil-trading competition pattern. They are not only the major participants in the competition for oil resources but also play important roles in the transmission of oil-trading competition. China and the United States especially display the feature of globalization, whose impacts of transmission reach across the whole oil-trading competition network. Finally, a “5C” (changeability, contestability, cooperation, commitment and circumstances) policy framework is put forward to maintain the stability of oil trade and improve the energy security of oil importers in various aspects.