Modelling Spatial Housing Markets

Modelling Spatial Housing Markets
复制标题

空间住房市场建模

DOI:
10.1007/978-1-4615-1673-6
复制
发表时间:
2012
期刊:
--
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
G. Meen
G. Meen
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
G. Meen

文献摘要

被引文献

相似文献

空间固定性是住房区别于经济中大多数其他商品和服务的特征之一。一般来说,不能因某些地区住房短缺或过剩而将住房从一个地区迁往另一个地区。房地产市场的建模和不同空间层次(国际、国家、区域和城市)市场之间的相互联系是本书的主题。第二个主要主题是不仅在空间方面,而且在家庭之间的分类。这本书认为,过去在英国和其他国家广泛使用的住房市场的总体时间序列模型在收入分散度不断增加的世界中变得不那么重要。通常情况下,聚合关系会破裂,除非在特殊情况下。例如,我们不能再假设传统的地点或保有权模式今后将继续存在。本书有四个主要部分。首先,它讨论了国际和国内住房市场的趋势。其次,本书在每个空间尺度上开发了理论住房模型,从国家模型开始,向下移动到区域一级,然后是城市模型。第三,本书提供了模型的经验估计,最后,模型用于政策分析。分析范围涵盖各种主题,包括对不同国际房价趋势的解释,住房周期的原因,信贷市场的作用,区域住房市场的相互作用以及住房在城市/郊区人口流动中的作用。
Spatial fixity is one of the characteristics that distinguishes housing from most other goods and services in the economy. In general, housing cannot be moved from one part of the country to another in response to shortages or excesses in particular areas. The modelling of housing markets and the interlinkages between markets at different spatial levels-international, national, regional and urban-are the main themes of this book. A second major theme is disaggregation, not only in terms of space, but also between households. The book argues that aggregate time-series models of housing markets of the type widely used in Britain and also in other countries in the past have become less relevant in a world of increasing income dispersion. Typically, aggregate relationships will break down, except under special conditions. We can no longer assume that traditional location or tenure patterns, for example, will continue in the future. The book has four main components. First, it discusses trends in housing markets both internationally and within nations. Second, the book develops theoretical housing models at each spatial scale, starting with national models, moving down to the regional level and, then, to urban models. Third, the book provides empirical estimates of the models and, finally, the models are used for policy analysis. Analysis ranges over a wide variety of topics, including explanations for differing international house price trends, the causes of housing cycles, the role of credit markets, regional housing market interactions and the role of housing in urban/suburban population drift.