PREVALENCE ESTIMATION AND POLICY FORMULATION
PREVALENCE ESTIMATION AND POLICY FORMULATION
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DOI：
10.1177/002204269302300203
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发表时间：
1993-03-01
影响因子：
1.7
通讯作者：
REUTER, P
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
REUTER, P
流行率估计在药物政策决策中具有潜在的重要作用。然而，迄今为止，它在国家一级的决定中只发挥了有限的作用，尽管它在国家药物政策的措辞中已变得重要。这种有限的影响一方面是由于估计数的能力和可信度有限，另一方面是由于围绕非法药物问题的政策进程具有高度的道德性质。现有的数字要么是系统地从可信度低的数据来源（自我报告）得出的，要么是不太系统地从不太了解的来源得出的。对有问题的药物使用者人数的估计很可能在不久的将来对决策起重要作用。
Prevalence estimation has a potentially important role in drug policy decision making. To date, however, it has played only a modest role in decisions at the national level, though it has come to be important in the rhetoric of national drug policy. This limited influence arises from the limited capacities and credibility of the estimates on the one hand and the highly moralistic nature of the policy process surrounding the illicit drug issue on the other. The available numbers are developed either systematically from data sources that have low credibility (self-report) or are developed less systematically from sources that simply are not well understood. Estimates of the number of problematic drug users are most likely to have a significant role in policy making in the near future.