Estimation of Dependences Based on Empirical Data

Estimation of Dependences Based on Empirical Data
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DOI:
10.1007/0-387-34239-7
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发表时间:
2006-03
期刊:
Estimation of Dependences Based on Empirical Data
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
V. Vapnik
V. Vapnik
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
V. Vapnik

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20-?自俄文版《基于经验数据的依赖估计》(简称EDBED)出版以来,已经过去了五年。TWEN-?五年是一段很长的时间。在这些年里,发生了很多事情。回首往事,人们可以看到生活和技术的变化有多快,变化有多慢和多不同?邪教就是要改变技术及其哲学的理论基础。在写这篇后记时,我追求两个目标:更新EDBED中提出的技术结果(容易的目标),以及描述这些年来新想法是如何发展的(一个更大的差异?邪教目标)。我想呈现的这幅图景是一个非常个人化的(因此是非常有偏见的)关于某一特定科学分支--经验科学的发展的描述。这类说明通常不包括在技术出版物的内容中。在我之前的所有书中,我都遵循了这一规则。但这一次我想违反它,原因有以下几个。首先,对我来说,EDBED是经验推理理论发展的重要里程碑,我想解释一下为什么。S--其次,在这些年里,新的1范式(现在被称为VC理论)和旧的范式(经典统计学)的支持者之间有很多讨论。
Twenty-? ve years have passed since the publication of the Russian version of the book Estimation of Dependencies Based on Empirical Data (EDBED for short). Twen-? ve years is a long period of time. During these years many things have happened. Looking back, one can see how rapidly life and technology have changed, and how slow and dif? cult it is to change the theoretical foundation of the technology and its philosophy. I pursued two goals writing this Afterword: to update the technical results presented in EDBED (the easy goal) and to describe a general picture of how the new ideas developed over these years (a much more dif? cult goal). The picture which I would like to present is a very personal (and therefore very biased) account of the development of one particular branch of science, Empirical-ference Science. Such accounts usually are not included in the content of technical publications. I have followed this rule in all of my previous books. But this time I would like to violate it for the following reasons. First of all, for me EDBED is the important milestone in the development of empirical inference theory and I would like to explain why. S-ond, during these years, there were a lot of discussions between supporters of the new 1 paradigm (now it is called the VC theory) and the old one (classical statistics).