Using Attitudes, Age and Gender to Estimate an Adolescent's Substance Use Risk.
Using Attitudes, Age and Gender to Estimate an Adolescent's Substance Use Risk.
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DOI：
10.1108/jcs-06-2015-0020
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发表时间：
2016
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Hansen JL
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hansen WB;Hansen JL
本文的目的是提出一种基于对青少年的年龄、性别和态度的评估来估计个人饮酒、吸烟和大麻使用风险的战略。作者从36个数据库中收集了35,987名11岁至17岁的青少年的调查数据，并对其进行了分析，以检验态度和行为之间的关系。态度与同时使用酒精、醉酒、吸烟和大麻密切相关，−为0.555，−为0.517，−为0.552，−为0.476。Logistic回归提供了一种使用年龄、性别和态度来估计个人从事药物使用行为的风险的方法。通过分析与每个年龄和性别组的百分位数排名相关的分数的变化来估计态度的发展变化。预测的态度年复一年的变化被用作估计未来风险的启发式方法。分析依赖于横截面面板数据。分析将受益于纵向数据，在这些数据中，与年龄相关的态度变化可以更准确地建模。关于估计的当前和未来风险的信息可用于激励父母和护理提供者采用和实施有效的预防方法。作者提出了一种新的方法来估计一个人在知道态度、年龄和性别的情况下使用药物的风险。
The purpose of this paper is to present a strategy for estimating an individual’s risk of alcohol, cigarette and cannabis use that relies on an assessment of an adolescent’s age, gender and attitude. The authors assembled surveys from 35,987 11 through 17 year-olds assembled from 36 databases were analysed to examine the relationship between attitude and behaviour. Attitudes were strongly correlated with concurrent use of alcohol, drunkenness, smoking, and cannabis, with point biserial correlations of −0.555, −0.517, −0.552 and −0.476, respectively. Logistic regression provided a means for using age, gender and attitudes to estimate an individual’s risk of engaging in substance use behaviour. Developmental changes in attitudes were estimated by analysing changes in scores associated with percentile rankings for each age and gender group. Projected year-to-year changes in attitude were used as a heuristic for estimating future risk. Analyses relied on cross-sectional panel data. Analyses would benefit from longitudinal data in which age-related changes in attitudes could be more precisely modelled. Information about estimated current and future risk may use useful for motivating the adoption and implementation of effective prevention approaches by parents and care providers. The authors present a novel method for estimating an individual’s risk of substance use knowing attitude, age and gender.