Population Thinking, Price’s Equation and the Analysis of Economic Evolution
Population Thinking, Price’s Equation and the Analysis of Economic Evolution
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人口思维、价格方程与经济演化分析
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发表时间：
2004
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通讯作者：
E. Andersen
中科院分区：
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作者：
E. Andersen
在本文中，它被认为是进化经济学需要一般的统计工具来执行的总体效应的分析，在潜在的人口动态演化。这些工具是在生物统计学中开发的，由于可以称为一般evometrics的发展，它们最近已直接适用于经济进化。这种进化计量学的核心是一种方法，它将进化变化划分为选择效应和创新效应，这两种效应由乔治普赖斯提出。这种方法作为解释进化的一种手段和解释进化的一个起点，令人惊讶地发挥了作用。普赖斯方程的应用涵盖了各个行业内相对短期的演化变化的划分和分析，以及对结构更为复杂的企业群体的研究。通过对普赖斯演化计量学的这些应用进行外推，本文认为他的方法可能在新兴的演化计量经济学中发挥核心作用。
In this paper it is argued that evolutionary economics needs general statistical tools for performing the analysis of the aggregate effects of evolution in terms of the underlying population dynamics. These tools have been developed within biometrics, and they have recently become directly applicable to economic evolution due to the development of what may be called a general evometrics. Central to this evometrics is a method for partitioning evolutionary change developed by George Price into the selection effect and what may be called the innovation effect. This method serves surprisingly well as a means of accounting for evolution and as a starting point for the explanation of evolution. The applications of Price’s equation cover the partitioning and analysis of relatively short-term evolutionary change within individual industries as well as the study of more complexly structured populations of firms. By extrapolating these applications of Price’s evometrics, the paper suggests that his approach may play a central role in the emerging evolutionary econometrics.