Are the Effects of Terrorism Short-Lived?
Are the Effects of Terrorism Short-Lived?
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DOI：
10.1017/s0007123423000352
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发表时间：
2024-04-01
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Pickard，Harry
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Bove，Vincenzo;Efthyvoulou，Georgios;Pickard，Harry
恐怖主义在袭击发生后立即引起强烈的公众反应，对民主制度和个人福祉产生重要影响。这些影响是短暂的吗？我们使用自然实验设计并将英国恐怖袭击数据与连续监测调查相结合来回答这个问题。我们发现，致命袭击后增强的风险认知和情绪反应不会在短期内消失，而是会随着时间的推移持续存在，最长可达袭击后 120 天。尽管大规模袭击会导致风险评估和情绪发生长期转变，但小规模恐怖主义事件的相应影响似乎会在一个月内消退。总体而言，恐怖主义的影响不会轻易消失。
Terrorism elicits strong public reactions immediately after the attack, with important implications for democratic institutions and individual well-being. Are these effects short-lived? We answer this question using a natural experiment design and combining data on terrorist attacks in the United Kingdom with a Continuous Monitoring Survey. We find that heightened risk perceptions and emotional reactions in the wake of deadly attacks do not dissipate in the very short run but are sustained over time and up to 120 days after the attacks. Whereas large-scale attacks cause a long-lasting shift in risk assessments and emotions, the corresponding effect of smaller-scale terrorism incidents appears to subside within one month. Overall, the impact of terrorism does not fade away easily.