Optimal population prediction of sandhill crane recruitment based on climate-mediated habitat limitations
Optimal population prediction of sandhill crane recruitment based on climate-mediated habitat limitations
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DOI：
10.1111/1365-2656.12370
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发表时间：
2015-09-01
影响因子：
4.8
通讯作者：
Drewien, Roderick C.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Gerber, Brian D.;Kendall, William L.;Drewien, Roderick C.
预测是科学探索和应用的基础；然而，生态学家倾向于使用解释性模型。我们讨论了一个预测模型框架来评估生态假说，并探索新的/未观察到的环境情景，以帮助保护和管理决策者。我们应用这个框架开发了一个青少年的最优预测模型。
Prediction is fundamental to scientific enquiry and application; however, ecologists tend to favour explanatory modelling. We discuss a predictive modelling framework to evaluate ecological hypotheses and to explore novel/unobserved environmental scenarios to assist conservation and management decision-makers. We apply this framework to develop an optimal predictive model for juvenile (