Revisiting the Effects of Unemployment Insurance Extensions on Unemployment: A Measurement-Error-Corrected Regression Discontinuity Approach
Revisiting the Effects of Unemployment Insurance Extensions on Unemployment: A Measurement-Error-Corrected Regression Discontinuity Approach
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DOI：
10.1257/pol.20160439
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发表时间：
2020-05-01
影响因子：
5.3
通讯作者：
Brummet, Quentin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Dieterle, Steven;Bartalotti, Otavio;Brummet, Quentin
本研究记录了两个潜在的偏见，在最近的分析UI效益扩展使用基于边界的识别：偏见使用县级总量和偏见跨境政策溢出。lb检查第一个偏差，分析使用了一种回归不连续性方法，该方法考虑了县级总量的测量误差。这些结果表明比以前的研究小得多的影响，对基于边界的设计的适用性提出质疑。然后，分析表明，大量的溢出效应的UI福利持续时间对跨境工作模式，一致的高效益国家的紧密度增加，并提供证据反对占主导地位的空缺减少响应UI扩展。
This study documents two potential biases in recent analyses of UI benefit extensions using boundary-based identification: bias from using county-level aggregates and bias from across-border policy spillovers. lb examine the first bias, the analysis uses a regression discontinuity approach that accounts for measurement error in county-level aggregates. These results suggest much smaller effects than previous studies, casting doubt on the applicability of border-based designs. The analysis then shows substantial spillover effects of UI benefit duration on across-border work patterns, consistent with increased tightness in high-benefit states and providing evidence against a dominant vacancy reduction response to UI extensions.