The Economic Impact of Syrian Refugees on Host Countries: Quasi-experimental Evidence from Turkey

The Economic Impact of Syrian Refugees on Host Countries: Quasi-experimental Evidence from Turkey
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叙利亚难民对收容国的经济影响:来自土耳其的准实验证据

DOI:
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发表时间:
2016
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Semih Tumen
Semih Tumen
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Semih Tumen

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叙利亚冲突导致从叙利亚北部到土耳其东南部的被迫移民。难民的到来就像一个自然实验,为研究移民的经济影响提供了很好的机会。我研究了三个主要结果:劳动力市场、消费者价格和住房租金。我记录了当地非正式工人的适度就业损失,这表明他们部分被难民取代。由于难民流入带来的劳动力成本优势,非正规劳动密集型部门生产的产品价格下降。最后,难民流入增加了高质量住房单元的租金,而对低质量住房单元没有影响。
The Syrian Conflict generated forced immigration from northern Syria to southeastern Turkey. Arrival of refugees resembles a natural experiment, which offers good opportunities to study the economic impact of immigration. I study three main outcomes: labor markets, consumer prices, and housing rents. I document moderate employment losses among native informal workers, which suggests that they are partly substituted by refugees. Prices of the items produced in informal labor intensive sectors declined due to labor cost advantages generated by refugee inflows. Finally, refugee inflows increased the rents of higher quality housing units, while there is no effect on lower quality units.