An ecosystem-based natural capital evaluation framework that combines environmental and socio-economic implications of offshore renewable energy developments
An ecosystem-based natural capital evaluation framework that combines environmental and socio-economic implications of offshore renewable energy developments
复制标题
基于生态系统的自然资本评估框架，结合了海上可再生能源开发的环境和社会经济影响
DOI：
10.1088/2516-1083/ac702a
复制
发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Jeffrey, Henry
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Trifonova, Neda;Scott, Beth;Griffin, Robert;Pennock, Shona;Jeffrey, Henry
全球沿海海域的使用即将发生突然的变化，特别是通过增加大规模的近海可再生能源(ORE)开发来应对气候变化。开发这种可持续的能源供应将需要权衡直接和间接的环境影响，以及与航运、渔业和娱乐等海洋用途的空间冲突。然而，驱动因素之间的关系，如引入结构和开采能源引起的生物物理环境的变化，以及由此对生态系统服务交付和自然资本资产的影响之间的关系，人们了解很少，很少从整个生态系统的角度来考虑。未来的海洋规划需要将这些变化作为国家政策层面评估的一部分进行评估，但也要让实践者在作出平衡环境和能源可持续性以及社会经济影响的决定时，了解不同自然资源利用之间的好处和权衡。为了解决这一不足，我们提出了一个基于生态系统的自然资本评估框架，该框架建立在动态贝叶斯建模方法的基础上，该方法考虑了物理(例如底温)、生物(例如净初级生产力)指标和人为海洋利用(例如捕鱼)之间的多重相互作用及其在空间和时间上的变化。拟议的评估框架衡量生态系统的变化、生态系统货物和服务的变化以及因应矿石部署情景和气候变化而产生的社会经济价值的变化，以便为寻求将新用途纳入我们的海洋生态系统的决策进程提供客观信息。这样的框架有可能探索替代管理和气候情景在相同指标(生态和社会经济)下可能产生的结果，从而能够就如何平衡各种海洋利用之间的利益和权衡作出客观的判断和决定，以提供长期的环境可持续性、经济效益和社会福利。
There is about to be an abrupt step-change in the use of coastal seas around the globe, specifically by the addition of large-scale offshore renewable energy (ORE) developments to combat climate change. Developing this sustainable energy supply will require trade-offs between both direct and indirect environmental effects, as well as spatial conflicts with marine uses like shipping, fishing, and recreation. However, the nexus between drivers, such as changes in the bio-physical environment from the introduction of structures and extraction of energy, and the consequent impacts on ecosystem services delivery and natural capital assets is poorly understood and rarely considered through a whole ecosystem perspective. Future marine planning needs to assess these changes as part of national policy level assessments but also to inform practitioners about the benefits and trade-offs between different uses of natural resources when making decisions to balance environmental and energy sustainability and socio-economic impacts. To address this shortfall, we propose an ecosystem-based natural capital evaluation framework that builds on a dynamic Bayesian modelling approach which accounts for the multiplicity of interactions between physical (eg bottom temperature), biological (eg net primary production) indicators and anthropogenic marine use (ie fishing) and their changes across space and over time. The proposed assessment framework measures ecosystem change, changes in ecosystem goods and services and changes in socio-economic value in response to ORE deployment scenarios as well as climate change, to provide objective information for decision processes seeking to integrate new uses into our marine ecosystems. Such a framework has the potential of exploring the likely outcomes in the same metrics (both ecological and socio-economic) from alternative management and climate scenarios, such that objective judgements and decisions can be made, as to how to balance the benefits and trade-offs between a range of marine uses to deliver long-term environmental sustainability, economic benefits, and social welfare.
登录
查看更多内容
将自然资本方法应用于海洋环境决策
影响因子：
7.6
作者：
Tara Hooper;Tobias Börger;O. Langmead;O. Marcone;S. Rees;O. Rendón;Nicola J. Beaumont;M. Attrill;M. Austen
通讯作者：
M. Austen
构建累积影响评估 (CIA) 的新战略框架
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
--
作者：
M. Declerck;J. Hartley;N. Trifonova;J. Black;B. Scott
通讯作者：
B. Scott
北海海上风电场内的捕鱼：苏格兰和德国的利益相关者对多用途的看法。
影响因子：
8.7
作者：
M. F. Schupp;Andronikos Kafas;B. Buck;G. Krause;Vincent Onyango;V. Stelzenmüller;I. Davies;B. Scott
通讯作者：
B. Scott
通过知识合作应对复杂性：将生态系统服务纳入减少灾害风险的主流
DOI：
10.1073/pnas.1414374112
发表时间：
2015
期刊：
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
影响因子：
--
作者：
B. Reyers;J. Nel;P. O’Farrell;N. Sitas;D. Nel
通讯作者：
D. Nel
基于生态系统的渔业管理框架：管理机构的高效区域级规划工具
影响因子：
3.8
作者：
W. J. Fletcher;J. Shaw;S. Metcalf;D. Gaughan
通讯作者：
D. Gaughan