Identifying Critical Factors of Oil Spill in the Tanker Shipping Industry Worldwide
Identifying Critical Factors of Oil Spill in the Tanker Shipping Industry Worldwide
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jclepro.2017.12.238
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发表时间：
2017-12
影响因子：
11.1
通讯作者：
Jihong Chen;Weipan Zhang;Sifan Li;Fangwei Zhang;Yuhua Zhu;Xiaoling Huang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Jihong Chen;Weipan Zhang;Sifan Li;Fangwei Zhang;Yuhua Zhu;Xiaoling Huang
世界石油分布不均以及各国经济发展对石油的依赖，使得海上石油运输成为各国开展石油贸易的极其重要的方式。海洋石油运输在给各国带来经济利益的同时，也发生了油轮溢油事故，给石油贸易国和航运国造成损失，严重污染海洋生态环境。油轮运输污染和溢油对海洋环境的破坏备受关注。本文建立了熵权灰色关联分析方法来分析溢油的关键影响因素，并评估了各因素对不同船舶作业的影响程度。基于全球油轮的实际情况，选取全球油轮溢油的7个主要影响因素进行评价，并基于组合方法建立了全球油轮溢油影响因素的分析框架，并给出了具体的分析步骤和方法。最后，基于1970年至2015年近46年全球油轮溢油历史数据进行模型实证研究，验证本文建立的模型分析全球油轮溢油因素的实用性和有效性。本研究结果有利于政府部门和政策制定者采取适当有效的策略来管理和预防全球油轮漏油事件。
The uneven petroleum distribution in the world and various countries' dependence on the petroleum for economic development make maritime oil shipping an extremely important way for various countries to launch oil trade. Marine oil shipping, while bringing economic benefits to various countries, witnesses oil spill accidents by oil tankers, which led to losses to oil trading and shipping countries and seriously polluted the marine ecological environment. The tanker shipping pollution and oil spills’ damages to the marine environment have drawn much attention. This paper sets up an entropy weighted grey relation analysis method to analyze key contributors to oil spills, and evaluates the extent of impacts of each factor in different ship operations. Based on actual conditions of global oil tankers, we chose seven dominant contributors to global tanker oil spills for evaluation, and established an analytic framework of global tanker oil spill factors based on the combined method, with specific analysis steps and methods provided. Finally, we conducted a model empirical study based on history data of global tanker oil spills in the past 46 years from 1970 to 2015 to verify the practicability and effectiveness of the model established in this paper for analyzing global tanker oil spill factors. The results of this study are conducive for government departments and policy makers to take appropriate and effective strategies to manage and prevent global tanker oil spills.