Perception of public opinion on global warming and the role of opinion deviance
Perception of public opinion on global warming and the role of opinion deviance
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jenvp.2019.04.001
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发表时间：
2019-06-01
影响因子：
6.9
通讯作者：
MacInnis, Bo
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Abeles, Adina T.;Howe, Lauren C.;MacInnis, Bo
人们倾向于认为他们自己的观点在其他人中特别普遍，特别是在他们的内部群体中。本文提出，这一过程不同的运作在群体中的突出人物采取公开立场的问题（意见线索），建议什么组成员做或应该认为，当这样的群体的一些成员是意见偏差，这意味着他们自己的意见不同，从他们的组的意见线索。两项关于民主党人、共和党人和无党派人士对其他人对全球变暖观点的看法的研究，在两项对美国成年人概率样本的全国性调查中进行（2012年，N = 804，2018年N = 1000）表明，虽然自己的信仰与他们的政党的意见线索一致的游击队员认为自己的信仰在自己的成员中更普遍，一方，并认为相反的信念在另一方的成员中更普遍，意见偏差者（例如，认为全球变暖正在发生的共和党人）没有。此外，结盟的党派认为一个更大的党派差距比意见偏差。这项研究阐明了一种新的方式，即群体成员影响公众对环境问题的看法，并提出了气候变化传播的新策略。
People tend to perceive their own opinions to be especially prevalent among others, especially among members of their ingroups. This paper proposes that this process operates differently in groups with prominent figures who take public stances on issues (opinion cues) that suggest what group members do or should think when some members of such groups are opinion deviant, meaning that their own opinions differ from their group's opinion cues. Two studies of Democrats', Republicans', and Independents' perceptions of others' views on global warming in two national surveys of probability samples of American adults (N = 804 in 2012, and N = 1000 in 2018) showed that whereas partisans whose own beliefs aligned with the opinion cues of their political party perceived their own beliefs to be more prevalent among members of their own party and perceived the opposite belief to be more prevalent among members of the other party, opinion deviants (e.g., Republicans who believe that global warming has been happening) did not. Furthermore, aligned partisans perceived a larger partisan gap than opinion deviants. This research illuminates a new way in which group membership affects perceptions of public opinion on environmental issues and suggests novel strategies for climate change communication.