The contagion of democracy through international networks
The contagion of democracy through international networks
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DOI：
10.1016/j.socnet.2019.08.009
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发表时间：
2020-05-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
Campbell, Benjamin W.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Cranmer, Skyler J.;Desmarais, Bruce A.;Campbell, Benjamin W.
关于民主化的工作通常考虑通过国家间伙伴关系传播民主。然而，这种伙伴关系构成了复杂的网络，学者们尚未充分探讨作为传播民主的载体。我们发展了一个网络理论的民主化，这些网络的特点是知识社区，影响精英的态度有利的政权类型。我们的理论预测，我们的实证策略证实，在联盟网络中的直接和间接的关系是民主化的载体。与传统观点相反，我们发现直接影响力只通过防御性联盟网络传播，并发现了高阶效应的证据。
Work on democratization typically considers the diffusion of democracy through interstate partnerships. However, such partnerships constitute complex networks that scholars have yet to fully explore as vectors for the spread of democracy. We develop a network theory of democratization which characterizes these networks as epistemic communities that influence elites' attitudes towards favorable regime types. Our theory predicts, and our empirical strategy confirms, that direct and indirect ties in the alliance network are vectors for democratization. In contrast to conventional wisdom, we find that direct influence is only transmitted through the defensive alliance network and find evidence of higher-order effects.