Have beliefs in conspiracy theories increased over time?

Have beliefs in conspiracy theories increased over time?
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随着时间的流逝,阴谋论的信念是否有所增加?

DOI:
10.1371/journal.pone.0270429
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发表时间:
2022
期刊:
影响因子:
3.7
通讯作者:
Murthi, Manohar
Murthi, Manohar
中科院分区:
综合性期刊3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Uscinski, Joseph;Enders, Adam;Klofstad, Casey;Seelig, Michelle;Drochon, Hugo;Premaratne, Kamal;Murthi, Manohar

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公众确信,对阴谋论的信仰正在增加,许多学者、记者和政策制定者也同意这一点。鉴于阴谋论与许多不规范倾向之间的联系,立法者呼吁制定政策来应对这些增长。然而,几乎没有证据表明,随着时间的推移,对阴谋论的信仰实际上有所增加。我们解决了这一证据缺口。研究1调查了相信46种阴谋论的美国人比例的变化;在某些情况下,我们的观察跨越了半个世纪。研究二考察了六个欧洲国家中相信六种阴谋论的个人比例的变化。研究3追踪了人们对哪些群体在密谋反对“我们”的看法,而研究4追踪了2012年至2021年美国的普遍阴谋思维。在任何情况下,我们都没有观察到阴谋主义增加的系统证据,无论如何运作。我们讨论了研究结果的理论和政策含义。
The public is convinced that beliefs in conspiracy theories are increasing, and many scholars, journalists, and policymakers agree. Given the associations between conspiracy theories and many non-normative tendencies, lawmakers have called for policies to address these increases. However, little evidence has been provided to demonstrate that beliefs in conspiracy theories have, in fact, increased over time. We address this evidentiary gap. Study 1 investigates change in the proportion of Americans believing 46 conspiracy theories; our observations in some instances span half a century. Study 2 examines change in the proportion of individuals across six European countries believing six conspiracy theories. Study 3 traces beliefs about which groups are conspiring against “us,” while Study 4 tracks generalized conspiracy thinking in the U.S. from 2012 to 2021. In no instance do we observe systematic evidence for an increase in conspiracism, however operationalized. We discuss the theoretical and policy implications of our findings.
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