Convergence Clubs in Cross-Country Life Expectancy Dynamics
Convergence Clubs in Cross-Country Life Expectancy Dynamics
复制标题
跨国预期寿命动态中的趋同俱乐部
DOI：
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发表时间：
2001
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
David MAYER
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
David MAYER
我根据物质、人力资本和技术对预期寿命进行建模，这些都是经济增长理论所描述的基本经济变量。具体而言，以索洛模型和Howitt和Mayer(2001)的收敛俱乐部增长模型为例。我讨论了如何使用多元趋同俱乐部结构来定义发展状态，并表明它必须反映在预期寿命动态中。然后，我通过目视检查和使用关于水平和收敛性质的错误说明测试表明，使用收敛俱乐部结构来描述1960-97年期间预期寿命的经验跨国分布是最好的。这提供了强有力的经验证据，表明只有涉及趋同俱乐部的增长理论才能解释发展过程。
I model life expectancy in terms of physical and human capital and technology, the fundamental economic variables described by economic growth theories. For concreteness, the Solow model and a convergence club growth model by Howitt and Mayer (2001) are used as examples. I discuss how a multiple convergence club structure can be used to define states of development and show that it must be reflected in the life expectancy dynamics. I then show by visual examination and by using mis-specification tests on levels and on convergence properties that the empirical cross-country distribution of life expectancy for the period 1960-97 is best described using a convergence club structure. This gives strong empirical evidence that only growth theories involving convergence clubs can explain the process of development.