ESTIMATING AFRICAN-AMERICAN MORTALITY FROM INACCURATE DATA
ESTIMATING AFRICAN-AMERICAN MORTALITY FROM INACCURATE DATA
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DOI：
10.2307/2061751
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发表时间：
1994-08-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.5
通讯作者：
PRESTON, SH
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
ELO, IT;PRESTON, SH
本文评估了用于估计六十年期间非裔美国人死亡率的生命统计和人口普查数据的质量。作者采用人口普查间队列比较和绝种一代估计来证明，传统计算的非洲裔美国人早在 50 岁时的死亡率就可能存在严重缺陷。作者利用 1978-1982 年 50 岁以上的粗死亡率，结合估计的增长率和两个模型生命表系统，估计了 1978-1982 年黑人的特定年龄死亡率。这些结果表明，如果死亡率出现种族交叉，非裔美国人的死亡率年龄模式必定远远超出在拥有更准确数据的人群中观察到的范围。
This paper evaluates the quality of vital statistics and census data for estimating African-American mortality over a period of six decades. The authors employ intercensal cohort comparisons and extinct generation estimates to demonstrate that conventionally constructed African-American death rates may be seriously flawed as early as age 50. Using the crude death rate at ages 50 + for 1978-1982 in conjunction with estimated growth rates and two model life table systems, the authors estimate black age-specific death rates in 1978-1982. These results suggest that if a racial crossover in death rates occurs, the age pattern of mortality among African-Americans must be far outside the range observed in populations with more accurate data.