Fear of China: Is There a Future for Manufacturing in Latin America?
Fear of China: Is There a Future for Manufacturing in Latin America?
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对中国的恐惧：拉丁美洲制造业有未来吗？
DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.597141
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发表时间：
2004
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
M. Moreira
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
M. Moreira
中国的崛起引发了人们对拉丁美洲制造业未来的尖锐质疑。本文着眼于这一挑战及其影响。首先要问：制造业对拉丁美洲仍然重要吗？它认为，该地区不能背弃一条行之有效的发展道路。然后，它继续表明，禀赋、生产力、规模和政府的作用，所有这些共同作用使中国成为一个强大的竞争对手。对贸易数据的分析证实了这一挑战的重要性，该数据表明迄今为止影响较小，但趋势令人不安。
China¿s emergence has raised pointed questions about the future of manufacturing in Latin America. This paper looks at this challenge and its implications. It begins by asking: Does manufacturing still matter for Latin America? It argues that the region cannot afford to turn its back to a well-proven road to development. It then moves on to show that endowments, productivity, scale and the government¿s role, all work together to make China a formidable competitor. The importance of this challenge is confirmed by an analysis of the trade data, which suggests a small impact so far, but a disquieting trend.