Nonmarital childbearing in Russia: second demographic transition or pattern of disadvantage?

Nonmarital childbearing in Russia: second demographic transition or pattern of disadvantage?
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DOI:
10.1007/s13524-010-0001-4
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发表时间:
2011-03
期刊:
影响因子:
3.5
通讯作者:
Gerber TP
Gerber TP
中科院分区:
法学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Perelli-Harris B;Gerber TP

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使用回顾性的工会,出生和教育的历史,跨越1980-2003年,本研究调查非婚生育在当代俄罗斯。我们采用了一种组合的方法来分解生育率的工会状态,并分析导致非婚生育的过程。我们发现,非婚生育比例的增加主要是由于怀孕前同居的女性比例不断增加,而不是改变同居者的生育行为或怀孕后的结合行为。教育与非婚生育之间的关系保持稳定:受教育程度最低的妇女在同居和单身母亲中的生育率最高,主要是因为她们使非婚生育合法化的可能性较低。这些研究结果表明,俄罗斯的非婚生育与美国的劣势模式比与第二次人口结构转型有更多的共同点。我们还发现了非婚生育的几个方面,这两个观点都没有预料到。
Using retrospective union, birth, and education histories that span 1980–2003, this study investigates nonmarital childbearing in contemporary Russia. We employ a combination of methods to decompose fertility rates by union status and analyze the processes that lead to a nonmarital birth. We find that the increase in the percentage of nonmarital births was driven mainly by the growing proportion of women who cohabit before conception, not changing fertility behavior of cohabitors or changes in union behavior after conception. The relationship between education and nonmarital childbearing has remained stable: the least-educated women have the highest birth rates within cohabitation and as single mothers, primarily because of their lower probability of legitimating a nonmarital conception. These findings suggest that nonmarital childbearing Russia has more in common with the pattern of disadvantage in the United States than with the second demographic transition. We also find several aspects of nonmarital childbearing that neither of these perspectives anticipates.
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