Decoupling China’s Carbon Emissions Increase from Economic Growth: An Economic Analysis and Policy Implications
Decoupling China’s Carbon Emissions Increase from Economic Growth: An Economic Analysis and Policy Implications
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DOI：
10.1016/s0305-750x(99)00154-0
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发表时间：
2000-04
影响因子：
6.9
通讯作者：
Zhongxiang Zhang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Zhongxiang Zhang
作为全球第二大碳排放国，中国长期以来一直被批评为“搭便车”，从其他国家减少温室气体排放的努力中获益，却不为自己的排放负责。在京都会议之后的后续谈判中，中国被单独列为主要目标之一。本文通过对1980- 1997年中国CO2排放的历史贡献分析，指出了燃料间转换、能源节约、经济增长和人口增长对中国CO2排放的影响，并指出了上述批评的不足。此外，鉴于中国的作用是国际气候变化谈判中长期关注的问题，本文设想了中国在人均收入赶上中等发达国家水平之前可能做出的一些努力和承诺。通过强调双赢战略，这些努力和承诺不太可能危及中国的经济发展，同时，将使中国在布宜诺斯艾利斯会议后的国际气候变化谈判中拥有更大的影响力。
As the world’s second largest carbon emitter, China has long been criticized as a “free-rider” benefiting from other countries’ efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions but not taking responsibility for its own emissions. China has been singled out as one of the major targets at the subsequent negotiations after the Kyoto meeting. By analyzing the historical contributions of interfuel switching, energy conservation, economic growth and population expansion to China’s CO2emissions during 1980–97, this article clearly demonstrates that the above criticism is unjustified. Moreover, given the fact that the role of China is an issue of perennial concern at the international climate change negotiations, the article envisions some efforts and commitments that could be expected from China until its per capita income catches up with the level of middle-developed countries. By emphasizing the win-win strategies, these efforts and commitments are unlikely to jeopardize China’s economic development and, at the same time, would give the country more leverage at the international climate change negotiations subsequent to the Buenos Aires meeting.