Communicating Uncertainty: A Challenge for Science Communication
Communicating Uncertainty: A Challenge for Science Communication
复制标题
传达不确定性：科学传播的挑战
DOI：
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发表时间：
2016
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Schneider
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Schneider
不确定性应该是科学传播中最被低估的因素。虽然不确定性是科学研究的重要组成部分，但科学传播的接受者认为不确定性是不必要的，而且容易在日常生活中造成错误和故障。然而，不确定性可以而且应该在科学传播中发挥重要作用。越来越多的研究涉及不确定性的不同方面，并为如何将不确定性概念应用于科学解释和交流提供了有价值的想法。本文将引起人们对不确定性的多维特征的注意。由于决策者必须在可行性分析中考虑可变性、不确定性和概率，我们表明，这些概念的科学剩余价值的传播必须以现代科学传播努力为中心。特别关注的是在博物馆环境中的解释和教育项目中使用不确定性和可变性的概念。
Uncertainty is supposed to be the most underrated element of science communication. While being a crucial part of scientific research, uncertainty is perceived by the recipients of science communication as unwanted and prone to create mistakes and malfunction in everyday life. Nevertheless, uncertainty can and should play a significant role in science communication. A growing number of studies deals with different aspects of uncertainty and gives valuable ideas on how to implement the concept of uncertainty into science interpretation and communication. This article will draw the attention to the multidimensional characteristics of uncertainty. Since decision-makers have to consider variability, uncertainty, and probability into feasibility analysis, we show that the communication of the scientific surplus value of these concepts must be centered within modern science communication efforts. A special focus will be on the use of the concepts of uncertainty and variability within interpretive and educational programs in museum environments.