Effect of playing tactics on achieving score-box possessions in a random series of team possessions from Norwegian professional soccer matches
Effect of playing tactics on achieving score-box possessions in a random series of team possessions from Norwegian professional soccer matches
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DOI：
10.1080/02640410903502766
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发表时间：
2010-01-01
影响因子：
3.4
通讯作者：
Bahr, Roald
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Tenga, Albin;Holme, Ingar;Bahr, Roald
包括对手互动评估在内的分析方法被认为提供了一种更有效的球队比赛表现手段。本研究的目的是通过评估挪威精英足球比赛中对手的互动来检验战术对得分盒占有率的影响。我们随机分析了2004赛季职业男子联赛182场（90%）比赛中的163场比赛中的1703次球队持球。使用了从十个有序分类变量中获得的多维定性数据。进攻战术在防守不平衡的情况下（28.5%）比防守平衡的情况下（6.5%）更有效（P < 0.001）。多元逻辑回归发现，对于主要变量“球队控球类型”，在面对不平衡防守时（优势比：2.69,95%置信区间：1.64 ~ 4.43），反击比精心进攻更有效，但在面对平衡防守时（优势比：1.14,95%置信区间：0.47 ~ 2.76），反击比精心进攻更有效。对手相互作用的评估是评价进攻战术对得分得分效果的关键，提高了足球比赛中球队比赛表现分析的有效性。
Methods of analysis that include an assessment of opponent interactions are thought to provide a more valid means of team match performance. The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of playing tactics on achieving score-box possession by assessing opponent interactions in Norwegian elite soccer matches. We analysed a random series of 1703 team possessions from 163 of 182 (90%) matches played in the professional men's league during the 2004 season. Multidimensional qualitative data obtained from ten ordered categorical variables were used. Offensive tactics were more effective in producing score-box possessions when playing against an imbalanced defence (28.5%) than against a balanced defence (6.5%) (P < 0.001). Multiple logistic regression found that, for the main variable "team possession type'', counterattacks were more effective than elaborate attacks when playing against an imbalanced defence (odds ratio: 2.69; 95% confidence interval: 1.64 to 4.43) but not against a balanced defence (odds ratio: 1.14; 95% confidence interval: 0.47 to 2.76). Assessment of opponent interactions is critical to evaluate the effectiveness of offensive playing tactics on producing score-box possessions, and improves the validity of team match-performance analysis in soccer.