Is the Bridge Broken? Increasing Ethnic Attachments and Declining Party Influence among Latino Voters
Is the Bridge Broken? Increasing Ethnic Attachments and Declining Party Influence among Latino Voters
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桥断了吗？
DOI：
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发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Gabriel R. Sanchez
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Jason L. Morín;Yoshira D. Macías Mejía;Gabriel R. Sanchez
在这篇文章中，我们测试了拉丁裔命运的感知是否会影响拉丁裔选民的党派认同和投票行为。具体来说，我们认为，由于反移民（拉丁裔）情绪的增加，对拉丁裔选民的依恋已经成为更广泛使用的启发式。此外，对拉丁裔社区日益增长的依恋有可能影响党派关系，甚至在民意调查中与传统的党派忠诚（即党派启发式）竞争。为了验证我们的论点，我们依赖于对拉丁裔潜在选民的多次调查，这些调查采用了超过15年的类似措施。我们的研究结果表明，对命运相关的认知，在不同程度上，与拉丁裔决定认同民主党有关。至少在最近的总统选举中，他们还表明，拉丁美洲人在投票时越来越依赖于种族启发，而越来越不依赖于自己的党派身份。这些发现对未来民主党和共和党吸引拉丁裔选民的能力以及我们对拉丁裔选民中政党认同如何运作的理解具有重要意义。
In this article, we test whether perceptions of Latino linked fate influence partisan identification and voting behavior among the Latino electorate across time. Specifically, we contend that attachments to the Latino community have become more widely used heuristics for Latino voters due to an increase in anti-immigrant (Latino) sentiment. Moreover, growing attachments to the Latino community have the potential to influence partisanship and even compete with traditional partisan loyalties (i.e., partisan heuristics) at the polls. To test our argument, we rely on multiple surveys of Latino likely voters with similar measures that span over a decade and a half. Our results indicate that perceptions of linked fate, to varying degrees, are associated with Latino’s decisions to identify with the Democratic Party. At least in more recent presidential elections, they also indicate that Latinos are becoming increasingly reliant on ethnic heuristics while becoming less reliant on their own partisan identity to make decisions at the polls. The findings have important implications for the future of the Democratic and Republican Parties’ ability to court Latino voters and our understanding of how party identification operates among the Latino electorate.