REAL-TIME PREDICTION ALGORITHM WITH A DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODEL USING KALMAN FILTER

REAL-TIME PREDICTION ALGORITHM WITH A DISTRIBUTED HYDROLOGICAL MODEL USING KALMAN FILTER
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基于卡尔曼滤波器的分布式水文模型实时预测算法

DOI:
10.2208/prohe.49.163
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发表时间:
2005
期刊:
Doboku Gakkai Ronbunshuu B
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
K. Takara
K. Takara
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Sunmin Kim;Y. Tachikawa;K. Takara

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卡尔曼滤波理论与分布式水文模型相结合,通过使用本文提出的几种技术来更新空间分布的状态变量。为了从出口流量观测中获得流域总蓄水量,采用Q-S曲线作为观测方程。在卡尔曼滤波更新总蓄水量后,引入比值法重新调整流域的分布式蓄水量,保持流域的空间分布格局。采用蒙特卡罗模拟来预测状态变量和误差方差传播。一个分布式模型与卡尔曼滤波理论相结合,给出了更新的模拟结果,提高了预测精度。
The Kalman filter theory is coupled with a distributed hydrological model to update spatially distributed state variables by using several techniques proposed here. To acquire the total water storages of a basin from discharge observations at the outlet, a Q-S curve is used as an observation equation. After updating total water storage with the Kalman filter, the ratio method is introduced to reset the distributed storage amount of a basin, maintaining the spatially distributed pattern. A Monte Carlo simulation is adopted to predict state variables and error variance propagations. A distributed model coupled with the Kalman filter theory gives updated simulation results with improved forecasting accuracy.
结合饱和-非饱和流动机制的阶段-流量关系方程的发展
DOI: --
发表时间: 2004
期刊: Annual Journal of Hydraulic Engineering (JSCE) Vol.48
影响因子: --
作者:
Yasuto Tachikawa;Gen Nagatani;Kaoru Takara
通讯作者: Kaoru Takara