Evolutionary Resilience and Strategies for Climate Adaptation

Evolutionary Resilience and Strategies for Climate Adaptation
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DOI:
10.1080/02697459.2013.787695
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发表时间:
2013-01-01
影响因子:
1.6
通讯作者:
Mehmood, Abid
Mehmood, Abid
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Davoudi, Simin;Brooks, Elizabeth;Mehmood, Abid

文献摘要

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本研究的目的是通过借鉴复原力、工程、生态和进化三个广泛的视角来制定一个框架,并利用该框架批判性地审查伦敦气候变化适应战略草案所采用的方法。该研究的中心论点是,该战略以应急计划为中心的气候适应方法在对复原力的标准生态理解和更严格的工程模型之间转变。它的重点是识别气候事件风险的“暴露程度”和“脆弱性”,以及从这种暴露的后果中恢复到正常状态,而不是向更理想的轨迹转变的动态过程。该研究的结论是,培养复原力不仅需要规划从冲击中恢复,还需要做好准备,并寻求变革中出现的潜在变革机会。
The aim of this study is to develop a framework by drawing on three broad perspectives on resilience, engineering, ecological and evolutionary, and to use this framework to critically examine the approach adopted by the draft London climate change adaptation strategy. The central argument of the study is that the Strategy's emergency planning-centred approach to climate adaptation veers between a standard ecological understanding of resilience and the more rigid engineering model. Its emphasis is on identifying 'exposure' and 'vulnerability' to risk from climate events and on bouncing back from the consequences of such exposures to a normal state, rather than on the dynamic process of transformation to a more desirable trajectory. The study concludes that fostering resilience involves planning for not only recovery from shocks but also cultivating preparedness, and seeking potential transformative opportunities which emerge from change.