Changes in Earnings Instability and Job Loss

Changes in Earnings Instability and Job Loss
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收入不稳定和失业的变化

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发表时间:
2001
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
A. Stevens
A. Stevens
中科院分区:
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作者:
A. Stevens

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本文考察了1970年至1991年期间失业或流离失所对男性收入不稳定性的影响。流离失所和非流离失所男子的收入不稳定性增加,因此与失业有关的变化不能完全解释不稳定性的增加。然而,失业发生率和后果的变化确实大大增加了收入的不稳定性和收入的总体差异。有证据表明,流离失所大大提高了失业后几年的收入波动。这一影响,加上1980年代最近失业的工人人数比前十年增加,导致总的收入不稳定性增加。
This paper examines the contribution of job loss or displacement to increasing male earnings instability between 1970 and 1991. Earnings instability increased among both displaced and not-displaced men, so changes associated with job loss cannot fully explain rising instability. Changes in the incidence and consequences of job loss did, however, add substantially to growing earnings instability and to the overall variance of earnings. There is evidence that displacement substantially raised earnings volatility for several years after job loss. That effect, combined with increased numbers of recently displaced workers in the 1980s relative to the previous decade, contributed to rising overall earnings instability.