Reactive Social distancing in a SIR model of epidemics such as COVID-19

Reactive Social distancing in a SIR model of epidemics such as COVID-19
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COVID-19 等流行病的 SIR 模型中的反应性社交距离

DOI:
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发表时间:
2020
期刊:
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
R. Baker
R. Baker
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
R. Baker

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提出了一个传染病中的反应性社会距离模型,其中传染率随感染人数而变化。流行病将感染的总人数的最终规模方程可以解析地推导出来,峰值感染比例也可以。该模型可以在例如COVID-19大流行期间帮助规划者。
A model of reactive social distancing in epidemics is proposed, in which the infection rate changes with the number infected. The final-size equation for the total number that the epidemic will infect can be derived analytically, as can the peak infection proportion. This model could assist planners during for example the COVID-19 pandemic.