IRAN'S ENERGY VULNERABILITY
IRAN'S ENERGY VULNERABILITY
复制标题
伊朗的能源脆弱性
DOI：
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发表时间：
2006
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Paul Rivlin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Paul Rivlin
本文探讨了伊朗的能源平衡及其对国际能源制裁的脆弱性。伊朗可能停止石油出口的警告是毫无意义的威胁，因为它不可能在不对本国经济造成巨大损害的情况下大幅减少石油出口。通过补贴所有能源产品，伊朗人为地刺激了需求，而美国的制裁限制了其增加供应的能力。因此，伊朗依赖进口汽油和其他产品，因此可能受到国际制裁。鉴于国内需求急剧上升，伊朗声称需要核能发电。将审查这一主张的经济理由。
This paper examines Iran’s energy balance and its vulnerability to international energy sanctions. Iran’s warnings that it may stop oil exports are idle threats, because it cannot significantly reduce oil exports without inflicting massive damage on its own economy. By subsidizing all energy products, Iran has artificially boosted demand, while U.S. sanctions limit its ability to increase supply. As a result, Iran has become reliant on imports of gasoline and other products and so is exposed to potential international sanctions. Given sharply rising domestic demand, Iran claims to need nuclear power to generate electricity. The economic justifications for this claim will be examined.