'Japan is Back': Autonomy and Balancing Amidst an Unstable China–U.S.–Japan Triangle

'Japan is Back': Autonomy and Balancing Amidst an Unstable China–U.S.–Japan Triangle
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“日本回来了”:不稳定的中美日三角中的自主与平衡

DOI:
10.1002/app5.240
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发表时间:
2018
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Lionel P. Fatton
Lionel P. Fatton
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Lionel P. Fatton

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近年来,日本的安全政策发生了巨大变化。该国更努力地与中国保持平衡,其武装部队越来越独立于美国同行。如何解释日本在经历了几十年的相对冷漠之后,日益增长的自主性和平衡倾向?我认为,这种新的战略取向是由于在不稳定的中美日三角关系中,中国对传统安全政策的有效性产生了前所未有的怀疑。€“€“面对一个更加自信的中国,东京对美国的安全承诺越来越不确定。由于与美国的联盟和对中国的迁就都已成为不适合保障国家安全的战略,日本恢复了更加自主和坚决的姿态。日本的新安全政策将对三角关系产生重要影响。
Japan's security policy has changed dramatically in recent years. The country balances harder against China, and its armed forces are increasingly autonomous from their American counterparts. What explains Japan's growing autonomy and balancing tendency after decades of relative apathy? I argue that this new strategic orientation results from unprecedented doubts about the effectiveness of its traditional security policy amidst an unstable China–U.S.–Japan triangular relationship. Tokyo is increasingly uncertain about American security commitments in the face of a more assertive China. As both the alliance with the United States and the accommodation of China are becoming unsuitable strategies for guaranteeing national security, Japan reverts to a more autonomous and resolute posture. Japan's new security policy will have important consequences for the triangular relationship.