Location, Location, Location…Identifying Hot spots of International Conflict
Location, Location, Location…Identifying Hot spots of International Conflict
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地点、地点、地点……确定国际冲突热点
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发表时间：
2005
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通讯作者：
A. Braithwaite
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作者：
A. Braithwaite
摘要本文介绍了新的变量，总结了1816年至2001年军事化州际争端（MID）的地理位置和这些位置的“热点”。详细介绍了三个练习：（1）说明和收集每个MID发作的地理位置数据;（2）生成这些数据的静态地图表示;和（3）应用空间聚类分析技术来检查它们的地理分布。首先，我解决了在执行前两个步骤时所遵循的协议-提供关于编码过程的想法和数据映射表示的示例。然后，我详细介绍了用于进行空间聚类分析的技术。这些分析的结果证实了对数据进行绘图的明显证据，提供了证据支持一种先验的预期，即争端的发生在空间和时间上是集中的;揭示了世界大多数区域的明显冲突“热点”。最后，我讨论了这个新的MID位置数据集的潜在应用。
Abstract This article introduces new variables summarizing the geographic location of Militarized Interstate Disputes (MIDs) and “hot spots” of these locations for the years 1816 to 2001. Three exercises are detailed: (1) the specification and collection of geographic location data for each MID onset; (2) the generation of static map representations of these data; and (3) the application of spatial cluster analysis techniques to examine their geographic distribution. Initially, I address the protocol followed while carrying out the first two of these steps - offering thoughts on the coding procedures and examples of the mapped representations of the data. I then detail the techniques used to conduct spatial cluster analysis. The results of these analyses confirm the apparent evidence of the mapped presentations of the data, offering evidence in support of the a priori expectation that dispute onsets are clustered in space and time; revealing apparent “hot spots” of conflict across most regions of the world. I conclude with a discussion of potential applications of this new MID location dataset.