State and local prevalence of firearms ownership measurement, structure, and trends
State and local prevalence of firearms ownership measurement, structure, and trends
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DOI：
10.1023/b:joqc.0000016699.11995.c7
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发表时间：
2004-03-01
影响因子：
3.6
通讯作者：
Miller, M
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Azrael, D;Cook, PJ;Miller, M
在容易计算的枪支拥有率的代理中，有一个，用枪自杀的百分比，与基于调查的估计最高度相关。它是用于跨州和较大县枪支流行对犯罪模式影响的横截面分析的最佳选择。对1979 - 1997年期间这一替代措施的分析表明，枪支拥有的地理结构高度稳定。这种结构与农村传统密切相关。然而，在这一时期，有一些趋向于同质化的趋势，高流行率的州呈下降趋势，低流行率的州呈上升趋势。
Of the readily computed proxies for the prevalence of gun ownership, one, the percentage of suicides committed with a gun, is most highly correlated with survey-based estimates. It is the best choice for use in cross-section analysis of the effect of gun prevalence on crime patterns across states and larger counties. Analysis of this proxy measure for the period 1979 - 1997 demonstrates that the geographic structure of gun ownership has been highly stable. That structure is closely linked to rural tradition. There is, however, some tendency toward homogenization over this period, with high-prevalence states trending down and low-prevalence states trending up.