Presidential Coattails Revisited: Partisanship and Incumbency Effects
Presidential Coattails Revisited: Partisanship and Incumbency Effects
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重温总统的盛宴：党派之争和在任效应
DOI：
10.2307/2111032
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发表时间：
1979
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Robert B. Eubank
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
H. Kritzer;Robert B. Eubank
最近的总统选举提出的一个问题是，获胜者未能让相当数量的国会候选人入主白宫。本文认为基于以往理论的解释是不充分的，并使用五次选举的SRC-CPS数据描述和测试了另一种解释。结果表明，提议的替代方案未能解释所审查的选举结果。这种失败似乎是由于共和党未能在国会一级获得或留住大量选民。另外的分析表明，这种明显的不对称在很大程度上（尽管不是全部）是国会选举中的在职效应造成的。
One question raised by recent presidential elections is the failure of the winner to carry into office any sizable number of congressional candidates. This paper suggests that explanations based upon previous theories are inadequate and describes and tests an alternate explanation using SRC-CPS data for five elections. The results show that the proposed alternative fails to account for the results of the elections examined. This failure seems to result from the inability of the Republican Party to capture or hold a large number of voters at the congressional level. Additional analyses indicate that much, though not all, of this apparent asymmetry is a result of incumbency effects in congressional elections.