A 20-gene model for molecular nodal staging of bladder cancer: development and prospective assessment.
A 20-gene model for molecular nodal staging of bladder cancer: development and prospective assessment.
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DOI:
10.1016/s1470-2045(10)70296-5
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发表时间:
2011-02
期刊:
影响因子:
51.1
通讯作者:
Theodorescu, Dan
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Smith, Steven Christopher;Baras, Alexander Spyridon;Dancik, Garrett;Ru, Yuanbin;Ding, Kuan-Fu;Moskaluk, Christopher A.;Fradet, Yves;Lehmann, Jan;Stoeckle, Michael;Hartmann, Arndt;Lee, Jae K.;Theodorescu, Dan
Neoadjuvant chemotherapy prior to cystectomy confers a survival benefit in bladder cancer. Yet, it has not been widely adopted, since most patients do not benefit and we are currently unable to predict those that do. As the most important predictor of recurrence following cystectomy is pathologically positive nodes, we propose that tools defining this stage would be useful in selecting patients for neoadjuvant chemotherapy. We developed a gene expression model (GEM) predictive of pathological node status for use on primary tumor tissue from clinically node negative (cN0) patients. From a subset of transcripts detected faithfully by microarrays from both paired frozen and formalin fixed tissues (N=32 pairs), we developed both the GEM and cutoffs identifying patient strata with elevated risk of nodal involvement using two separate training cohorts (N=90 and N=66). We then evaluated the GEM and cutoffs to predict node positive disease in tissues from a Phase III trial cohort (AUO-AB-05/95, N=185). A 20-gene GEM was developed and exhibited an AUC=0·67 [95%CI 0·59–0·75], for prediction of nodal disease at cystectomy in AUO-AB-05/95. The cutoff system identified subjects with high (RR 1·74, [1·03–2·93]) and low (RR 0·70, [0·51–0·96]) relative risk of node positive disease. Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated the GEM predictor was independent of age, gender, pathologic stage, and lymphovascular space invasion (P=0·019). Selecting patients for neoadjuvant chemotherapy based on risk of node positive disease has the potential to benefit high-risk patients while sparing others toxicity and delay to cystectomy. U.S. National Cancer Institute (R01CA143971)