Predicting Long-Term Effects of Infrastructure Development Projects in Continental South East Asia: IDE Geographical Simulation Model
Predicting Long-Term Effects of Infrastructure Development Projects in Continental South East Asia: IDE Geographical Simulation Model
复制标题
预测东南亚大陆基础设施开发项目的长期影响：IDE 地理模拟模型
DOI：
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发表时间：
2008
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Keola
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Kumagai;T. Gokan;Ikumo Isono;S. Keola
建立严密的经济地理学模型，预测经济一体化过程中各地区人口和产业的区位变化，具有重要意义。IDE地理模拟模型（IDE-GSM）的开发有两个主要目的：（1）确定东亚地区长期的人口和产业分布动态;（2）分析特定基础设施项目对地方经济的影响。本文介绍了IDE-GSM的基本结构，并对东西经济走廊对东南亚大陆地区的影响进行了实证分析。结果表明，边界成本似乎发挥了很大的作用，在人口和产业的位置选择，往往比物理基础设施本身更重要的作用。
It is important to develop a rigorous economic geography model for predicting changes in the location of population and industries across regions in the process of economic integration. The IDE Geographical Simulation Model (IDE-GSM) has been developed for two major objectives: (1) to determine the dynamics of locations of population and industries in East Asia in the long term, and (2) to analyze the impact of specific infrastructure projects on the regional economy at sub-national levels. The basic structure of the IDE-GSM is introduced in this article and accompanied with results of test analyses on the effects of the East West Economic Corridor on regions in Continental South East Asia. Results indicate that border costs appear to play a big role in the location choice of populations and industries, often a more important role than physical infrastructures themselves.
DOI：
10.7551/mitpress/6389.001.0001
发表时间：
1999-06
期刊：
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影响因子：
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作者：
Masahisa Fujita;P. Krugman;A. Venables
通讯作者：
Masahisa Fujita;P. Krugman;A. Venables