Poverty and Civil War Events A Disaggregated Study of Liberia
Poverty and Civil War Events A Disaggregated Study of Liberia
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DOI：
10.1177/0022002709336459
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发表时间：
2009-08-01
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
Raleigh, Clionadh
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Hegre, Havard;Ostby, Gudrun;Raleigh, Clionadh
本文探讨了次国家贫困和内战事件的位置之间的联系。借鉴ACLED数据集，它将内部冲突分解为地方一级的个别事件，我们采取分解方法来研究冲突。地方一级的社会经济数据取自利比里亚人口和健康调查。以大约76 km（2）的地理单元作为分析单位，我们测试了绝对和相对福利如何影响1989-2002年利比里亚内战期间冲突事件的存在和数量。我们控制邻近的冲突事件、与蒙罗维亚和国家边界的距离、人口密度、钻石矿藏和种族关系。战争事件在较富裕的地区更为频繁。这可能会提供更好的支持“机会”的解释比“相对剥夺”理论的冲突，但我们认为，利比里亚政府的相对薄弱，使其难以区分两者。
This article examines the link between subnational poverty and the location of civil war events. Drawing on the ACLED dataset, which breaks internal conflicts down to individual events at the local level, we take a disaggregated approach to the study of conflict. Local-level socioeconomic data are taken from the Liberian Demographic and Health Survey. With geographical cells of approximately 76 km(2) as units of analysis, we test how absolute and relative welfare affect the presence and number of conflict events during the 1989-2002 Liberian civil war. We control for neighboring conflict events, distance to Monrovia and national borders, population density, diamond deposits, and ethnic affiliations. War events were more frequent in the richer locations. This may provide better support for "opportunity" explanations than for "relative deprivation" theories of conflict, but we argue that the relative weakness of the Liberian government makes it difficult to distinguish between the two.