The North American Animal Disease Spread Model:: A simulation model to assist decision making in evaluating animal disease incursions

The North American Animal Disease Spread Model:: A simulation model to assist decision making in evaluating animal disease incursions
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DOI:
10.1016/j.prevetmed.2007.05.019
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发表时间:
2007-12-14
影响因子:
2.6
通讯作者:
Salman, Mo D.
Salman, Mo D.
中科院分区:
农林科学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Harvey, Neil;Reeves, Aaron;Salman, Mo D.

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北美动物疫病传播模型是一个随机的、空间的、状态转移的模拟模型,用于动物高传染性疾病的传播。它是在广泛的国际支持下制定的,以协助涉及疾病侵袭的政策制定和决策。用户建立的参数定义了疾病进展方面的模型行为;通过动物对动物的接触、接触受污染的人员或设备和空中传播的疾病传播;以及销毁和接种疫苗等控制措施的实施。考虑到可用于实施疾病控制战略的资源以及与这些战略相关的直接成本。该模型记录了各种衡量模拟疫情暴发程度和其他特征的指标。图形界面和输出可视化功能也使其成为培训和准备练习的有用工具。该模型现在正被用于评估美国、加拿大和其他地方几种具有重要经济意义的外来动物疾病的暴发情景和潜在的控制策略。NAADSM可通过因特网免费获得,网址为:http://www.naadsm.org.。(C)2007 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。
The North American Animal Disease Spread Model is a stochastic, spatial, state-transition simulation model for the spread of highly contagious diseases of animals. It was developed with broad international support to assist policy development and decision making involving disease incursions. User-established parameters define model behavior in terms of disease progression; disease spread by animal-to-animal contact, contact with contaminated personnel or equipment, and airborne dissemination; and the implementation of control measures such as destruction and vaccination. Resources available to implement disease control strategies, as well as the direct costs associated with these strategies, are taken into consideration. The model records a wide variety of measures of the extent of simulated outbreaks and other characteristics. The graphical interface and output visualization features also make it a useful tool for training and preparedness exercises. This model is now being used to evaluate outbreak scenarios and potential control strategies for several economically important exotic animal diseases in the United States, Canada, and elsewhere. NAADSM is freely available via the Internet at http://www.naadsm.org. (c) 2007 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.