The Status Quo Theory of Depletion Does Not Explain the Israeli Parole Decisions
The Status Quo Theory of Depletion Does Not Explain the Israeli Parole Decisions
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现状耗尽理论并不能解释以色列的假释决定
DOI：
10.2139/ssrn.3448164
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发表时间：
2017
影响因子：
3.8
通讯作者：
J. Ureta
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Øystein Daljord;Oleg Urminsky;J. Ureta
Danziger等人（2011年a）表明，以色列假释法院的假释决定受到司法上的外部因素的影响，例如案件审理的时间。文章认为，周期性假释频率可以用耗竭的现状理论来解释，但没有用数据来检验这一理论。我们首先证明了Danziger等人（2011 a）中使用的统计模型可以解释为耗尽过程的行为模型。根据这种解释，现状理论与报告的结果不一致。然而，统计模型强加了一个限制性的假设，消耗过程是统一的法官。个别具体的消耗过程，这是由理论和数据支持的建议，影响一个关键的测试统计量的测量。允许判断具体的耗竭过程，证据是比较复杂的，但我们发现总体上几乎没有支持现状理论的耗竭。
Danziger et al. (2011a) showed that the parole decisions of an Israeli court of parole are influenced by judicially extraneous factors such as the time of day the case is heard. It was suggested in the paper that the cyclical parole frequencies could be explained by a status quo theory of depletion, but it did not test the theory in the data. We first show that the statistical model used in Danziger et al. (2011a) can be interpreted as a behavioral model of a depletion process. Under this interpretation, the status quo theory is inconsistent with the reported results. The statistical model however imposes a restrictive assumption of depletion processes that are uniform across judges. Individual specific depletion processes, which is suggested by theory and supported by the data, affect the measurement of a key test statistic. Allowing for judge specific depletion processes, the evidence is more mixed, but we find overall little support for the status quo theory of depletion.
DOI：
--
发表时间：
2008
期刊：
--
影响因子：
--
作者：
K. Vohs;R. Baumeister;B. Schmeichel;J. Twenge;Noelle M. Nelson
通讯作者：
K. Vohs;R. Baumeister;B. Schmeichel;J. Twenge;Noelle M. Nelson