Analysis of randomized comparative clinical trial data for personalized treatment selections

Analysis of randomized comparative clinical trial data for personalized treatment selections
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DOI:
10.1093/biostatistics/kxq060
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发表时间:
2011-04-01
期刊:
影响因子:
2.1
通讯作者:
Wei, L. J.
Wei, L. J.
中科院分区:
数学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Cai, Tianxi;Tian, Lu;Wei, L. J.

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Suppose that under the conventional randomized clinical trial setting, a new therapy is compared with a standard treatment. In this article, we propose a systematic, 2-stage estimation procedure for the subject-level treatment differences for future patient's disease management and treatment selections. To construct this procedure, we first utilize a parametric or semiparametric method to estimate individual-level treatment differences, and use these estimates to create an index scoring system for grouping patients. We then consistently estimate the average treatment difference for each subgroup of subjects via a nonparametric function estimation method. Furthermore, pointwise and simultaneous interval estimates are constructed to make inferences about such subgroup-specific treatment differences. The new proposal is illustrated with the data from a clinical trial for evaluating the efficacy and toxicity of a 3-drug combination versus a standard 2-drug combination for treating HIV-1-infected patients.