The Future of Nonviolent Resistance
The Future of Nonviolent Resistance
复制标题
非暴力抵抗的未来
DOI：
10.1353/jod.2020.0046
复制
发表时间：
2020
影响因子：
3.1
通讯作者：
E. Chenoweth
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
E. Chenoweth
翻译后摘要：在过去的五十年中，非暴力的公民抵抗已经超过了武装斗争的革命运动所使用的动员最常见的形式。然而，即使公民抵抗运动在2010年代达到了一个新的受欢迎高峰，其有效性也开始下降-甚至在2020年初新冠肺炎大流行导致大规模示威活动暂时停止之前。本文认为，非暴力公民抵抗的成功率下降不仅是由于精明的国家反应，而且还改变了公民抵抗运动本身的结构和能力。也许与直觉相反，冠状病毒大流行可能有助于解决其中一些根本问题，因为它推动运动将重点转向关系建设、基层组织、战略和规划。
Abstract:Over the past fifty years, nonviolent civil resistance has overtaken armed struggle as the most common form of mobilization used by revolutionary movements. Yet even as civil resistance reached a new peak of popularity during the 2010s, its effectiveness had begun to decline—even before the covid-19 pandemic brought mass demonstrations to a temporary halt in early 2020. This essay argues that the decreased success of nonviolent civil resistance was due not only to savvier state responses, but also to changes in the structure and capabilities of civil-resistance movements themselves. Perhaps counterintuitively, the coronavirus pandemic may have helped to address some of these underlying problems by driving movements to turn their focus back to relationship-building, grassroots organizing, strategy, and planning.