A Bayesian model to investigate excess mortality during the dengue epidemic in Greater Metropolitan Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in 2007-2008
A Bayesian model to investigate excess mortality during the dengue epidemic in Greater Metropolitan Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, in 2007-2008
复制标题
DOI：
10.1590/0102-311x00070112
复制
发表时间：
2013-10-01
影响因子：
2.8
通讯作者：
Medronho, Roberto de Andrade
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Malhao, Thaina Alves;Casquilho Resende, Camila Maria;Medronho, Roberto de Andrade
本研究的目的是调查2007-2008年流行期间巴西里约热内卢大都市登革热的超额死亡率。泊松动态模型进行了测试，以预测在这些流行年的死亡人数。使用贝叶斯方法进行推断。2008年3月发现儿童死亡率过高
The aim of this study was to investigate excess mortality from dengue in Greater Metropolitan Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, during an epidemic in 2007-2008. A Poisson dynamic model was tested to predict the number of deaths during these epidemic years. Inference was conducted with a Bayesian approach. Excess mortality was detected in March 2008 in children