Emergency Department and Ambulatory Care Visits in the First Twelve Months of Coverage Under Medicaid Expansion: A Group-Based Trajectory Analysis.

Emergency Department and Ambulatory Care Visits in the First Twelve Months of Coverage Under Medicaid Expansion: A Group-Based Trajectory Analysis.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.annemergmed.2021.01.015
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发表时间:
2021-07
影响因子:
6.2
通讯作者:
Donohue JM
Donohue JM
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hollander MAG;Cole ES;Sabik LM;Kahn JM;Chang CH;Jarlenski MP;Donohue JM

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More than 17 million people have gained health insurance coverage through the Affordable Care Act’s (ACA) Medicaid expansion. Few studies have examined heterogeneity within the Medicaid expansion population. We used group-based multi-trajectory modeling to jointly estimate trajectories of ambulatory care and ED utilization in the first 12 months of enrollment among Pennsylvania Medicaid expansion enrollees from 2015–2017. Among 601,877 expansion enrollees, we identified six distinct groups based on joint trajectories of ED and ambulatory care use. Mean ED use varied across groups from 3.4 to 48.7 visits per 100 enrollees in the first month and between 2.8 and 44.0 visits per 100 enrollees in month 12. Mean ambulatory visits rates varied from 0.0 to 179 visits per 100 enrollees in the first month and from 0.0 to 274 visits in month 12. Rates of ED visits did not change over time, but rates of ambulatory care visits increased by at least 50% among four groups during the study period. Groups varied on chronic condition diagnoses, including mental health and substance use disorders, as well as diagnoses associated with ambulatory care visits. We find substantial variation in rates of ED and ambulatory care use across empirically defined subgroups of Medicaid expansion enrollees. We also identified heterogeneity among the diagnoses associated with these visits. This data-driven approach may be used to target resources to encourage efficient use of ED services and support engagement with ambulatory care providers.
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