Car Ownership among Young Adults
Car Ownership among Young Adults
复制标题
年轻人拥有汽车的情况
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
2010
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Lei Tang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
P. Thakuriah;Shashi Menchu;Lei Tang
一个个人层面的混合纵向数据集，包括三个独立的队列，代表美国社会的三代人，用于研究从20世纪60年代中期到21世纪初的40年期间，年轻人（18至24岁）的汽车拥有趋势如何变化。一个多层次的，混合模型的二进制汽车所有权的结果估计使用最大似然法。在控制了与社会人口统计学、个人生活、地理位置和劳动力市场相关的因素后，研究发现，上一代人（20世纪90年代末和21世纪初的年轻人）更有可能在更早的年龄进入汽车市场。与前几代人相比，当上一代人度过18至24岁的窗口期时，他们已经达到了汽车拥有量的水平，这是早期研究预测的社会汽车拥有量的饱和水平。与非少数民族相比，少数民族在20世纪60年代末至80年代初的汽车拥有率方面取得了更大的进步;然而，在最近一代人中，少数民族汽车拥有率的增长放缓。在前几代人中，城市地区的年轻人在汽车拥有率方面领先于农村地区，但在最后一代人中落后于农村地区的年轻人。在这三代人中，失业者的汽车拥有率低于就业者。就业和失业之间的差距随着一代又一代人的增加而增加，在所考虑的最后一代人中几乎达到30%。
An individual-level mixed longitudinal data set with three separate cohorts representing three generations in U.S. society is used to examine how car ownership trends have changed among young adults (18 to 24 years of age) over a 40-year period, from the mid-1960s to the mid-2000s. A multilevel, mixed model for binary car-ownership outcomes was estimated by using maximum likelihood. After controlling for factors relating to sociodemographics, personal life, location, and labor market, individuals in the past generation considered (who were young adults in the late 1990s and early 2000s) were found to be significantly more likely to enter the car market at an earlier age. In contrast to earlier generations, by the time individuals in the last generation cleared the 18- to 24-year window, they were found to have reached car ownership levels that had been predicted by earlier studies to be the saturation levels of car ownership in a society. Minorities made greater progress in rates of car ownership between the late 1960s and the early 1980s compared with nonminorities; however, increases in the rates of car ownership slowed for minorities in the most recent generation. Young adults in urban areas led those in rural areas in the earlier generations on car ownership rates but fell behind their rural counterparts in the last generation considered. Across all three generations, vehicle ownership was lower among the unemployed compared with the employed. The differential between employed and unemployed increased with each successive generation and was almost 30% in the last generation considered.